Population projections and forecasts: what is the difference?

Activity: Talk or presentationInvited talkResearch


Estimates and predictions of current and future population are one of the most important areas of demography. They are needed for monitoring social trends, making decisions about resources, planning and assessing demand for social services. This talk will introduce a cohort component method of estimating and predicting populations. The method is capable of producing deterministic, scenario-based projections of current and future population, as well as producing probabilistic forecasts that provide measures of uncertainty about demographic components and future population. The advantages and disadvantages of the two approaches will be compared.
Period30 Mar 2023
Held atSun Yat-sen University, China
Degree of RecognitionLocal