THE EXPRESS:Shocking report reveals Italy could see a deadlier second wave of coronavirus soon

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Explaining the report, Dr Thomas House, a reader in mathematical statistics at the University of Manchester, said: “Italy is the European country that experienced the earliest surge in COVID-19 cases and as such it is important to follow the situation there closely.

“This paper quantifies the extent to which non-pharmaceutical interventions have worked, and reflecting the uncertainty in what will happen considers multiple scenarios that might hold as they are relaxed.

“This study is applicable to the UK, since the authors correctly recommend that the situation is closely monitored as aspects of lockdown are relaxed, and do not try to predict the future exactly but rather present scenarios that may plausibly be realised depending on how this process actually develops.”