Personal profile
Overview
- Senior Lecturer in Health Data Science, University of Manchester
- Research interests in methods for developing, validating and implementing clinical prediction models, and the application of such methods to solve real-world healthcare challenges.
Biography
Glen is a Senior Lecturer in Health Data Science in the Division of Informatics, Imaging and Data Science at the University of Manchester. His research focuses on developing and implementing clinical risk prediction models using large-scale health data, with expertise in multivariate modelling, missing data, and model translation. He holds a PhD in Health Data Science and is a Chartered Statistician. Glen has led and contributed to major research projects funded by NIHR, MRC, Wellcome Trust, and others, and has published over 130 peer-reviewed papers. He is Programme Director for the MSc Health Informatics programme, jointly delivered with UCL, and is a Fellow of the Higher Education Academy.
Research interests
Glen's research focuses on improving healthcare through the effective use of clinical prediction models to underpin prevention and early detection of disease. He is interested in addressing key methodological challenges to ensure that such prediction models are both scientifically rigorous and practically useful. Specifically, Glen's research spans four interrelated themes:
- Multivariate (multi-outcome) risk prediction – developing methods to model multiple outcomes simultaneously. That is, allowing prediction models to estimate an individual's risk of different combinations of multiple health outcomes/events (e.g., risk of multimorbidity).
- Handling missing data in prediction modelling – advancing techniques to handle incomplete data when developing, validating and implementing prediction models.
- Risk model development for primary and secondary prevention – developing and validating models for different clinical applications and healthcare challenges. I have particular interests in cardiovascular, cancer risk and social care.
- Implementation and translation of prediction models – improving the integration of models into clinical practice to maximise their impact. For example, examining methods to evaluate their impact on health outcomes.
Teaching
Glen is the Programme Director (UoM side) for the MSc Health informatics (UCL/UoM joint Award). On this programme, Glen teaches on the following units:
- Unit lead for "Applied Health Data Analystics" module (15 credits)
- Lecturer on "Digital Transformation Project" module (15 credits)
- Dissertation project supervision
Qualifications
- 2014-2017: PhD Medicine (Health Informatics), University of Manchester. Thesis Title: "Methodology in Developing Clinical Prediction Models within Local Populations: applications in transcatheter aortic valve implantation".
- 2013-2014: MSc Statistics, Lancaster University
- 2010-2013: BSc Mathematics, Lancaster University
Further information
Email: [email protected]
Memberships of committees and professional bodies
Royal Statistical Society, CStat
Methodological knowledge
Statistics
Research Beacons, Institutes and Platforms
- Digital Futures
- Christabel Pankhurst Institute
- Healthier Futures
Expertise related to UN Sustainable Development Goals
In 2015, UN member states agreed to 17 global Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) to end poverty, protect the planet and ensure prosperity for all. This person’s work contributes towards the following SDG(s):
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SDG 3 Good Health and Well-being
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SDG 4 Quality Education
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SDG 5 Gender Equality
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SDG 10 Reduced Inequalities
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SDG 11 Sustainable Cities and Communities
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SDG 16 Peace, Justice and Strong Institutions
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Collaborations and top research areas from the last five years
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A general sample size framework for developing or updating a clinical prediction model
Riley, R. D., Whittle, R., Sadatsafavi, M., Martin, G., Pate, A., Collins, G. S. & Ensor, J., 16 Apr 2026, (Accepted/In press) In: BMC Medical Research Methodology .Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
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Agreement between heuristic shrinkage factor and optimal shrinkage factors in logistic regression for risk prediction: a simulation study across different sample sizes and settings
Pate, A., Martin, G. & Riley, R. D., 2 Feb 2026, (Accepted/In press) In: Diagnostic and Prognostic Research.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
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Analysing Patterns in Electronic Optometry Referrals: Feasibility and Methodology
Alotaibi, A., Jinkinson, M., Parmar, K., Martin, G., Morgan, P. & Harper, R. A., 6 Mar 2026, In: Ophthalmic and Physiological Optics. 46Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
Open Access -
Cluster separation outperforms other metrics in validating multimorbidity patterns: statistical simulation study
Dhafari, T. B., Pate, A., Martin, G. P., Rafferty, J., Jalali-najafabadi, F., Hall, M. & Peek, N., Jun 2026, In: Journal of Clinical Epidemiology. 194, 112209.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
Open Access -
Development and validation of prediction models for predicting social care strengths and vulnerability in older people: Cohort study using routine data in Adult Social Care
Clarkson, P., Hossain, B. (Editor), Lerigo, F., Martin, G. P., Wall, L., Davies, S., Nenadic, G., Hine, P. & Robinson, C., 15 Apr 2026, In: PLoS ONE. 21(4): e0328330Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
Projects
- 2 Finished
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SC-SVI: Developing a Social Care Strengths and Vulnerability Index (SC-SVI) for older people: a feasibility proof of concept study in local authorities
Clarkson, P. (PI), Robinson, C. (CoI), Nenadic, G. (CoI), Martin, G. (CoI), Davies, S. (CoI), Lerigo, F. (Researcher) & Wall, L. (CoI)
1/03/22 → 30/04/24
Project: Research
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HOD2: Toward Holistic Approaches to Clinical Prediction of Multi-Morbidity: A Dynamic Synergy of Inter-Connected Risk Models.
Martin, G. (PI), Peek, N. (CoI), Sergeant, J. (CoI) & Van Staa, T. (CoI)
1/05/20 → 30/04/23
Project: Research
Thesis
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Methodological Development to Support Clinical Prediction Modelling within Local Populations: applications in transcatheter aortic valve implantation and an analysis of the British Cardiovascular Interventional Society national registry
Martin, G. (Author), Sperrin, M. (Main Supervisor) & Mamas, M. (Co Supervisor), 1 Nov 2017Student thesis: Phd
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