Personal profile
Biography
Undergraduate: Oxford; DPhil: Sussex; Postdoctoral and Assistant Professor: Warwick.
Research interests
I work primarily on mathematical epidemiology, an exciting area of interdisciplinary applied mathematics that involves a large number of quantitative techniques applied to the study of patterns of disease at the population level. Other interests include complex networks, numerical probability, statistics / inverse problems, and model simplification.
Opportunities
Please get in touch if you'd be interested in student, postgraduate or postdoctoral projects with me.
Research Beacons, Institutes and Platforms
- Sustainable Futures
- Christabel Pankhurst Institute
- Thomas Ashton Institute
- Healthier Futures
- Digital Futures
Expertise related to UN Sustainable Development Goals
In 2015, UN member states agreed to 17 global Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) to end poverty, protect the planet and ensure prosperity for all. This person’s work contributes towards the following SDG(s):
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SDG 3 Good Health and Well-being
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SDG 5 Gender Equality
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SDG 16 Peace, Justice and Strong Institutions
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Collaborations and top research areas from the last five years
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Inference for Within- and Between-Partnership Transmission Rates for HIV Infection
Muñoz, I. G., Hall, I. & House, T., 4 Feb 2026, (Submitted) arXiv, p. 1-14, 14 p.Research output: Preprint/Working paper › Preprint
File2 Downloads (Pure) -
Epidemiological and phylogenetic analyses of public SARS-CoV-2 data from Malawi
Afuleni, M. K., Modchang, C. (Editor), Cahuantzi, R., Lythgoe, K. A., Mulaga, A. N., Hall, I., Johnson, O. & House, T., 21 Mar 2025, In: PLOS Global Public Health.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
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Modelling the dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 during the first 14 days of infection
Xu, J., López-García, M., House, T. & Hall, I., 1 Sept 2025, In: Epidemics. 52, 100843.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
Open AccessFile10 Downloads (Pure) -
Probability of extinction and peak time for multi-type epidemics with application to COVID-19 variants of concern
Curran-Sebastian, J., Dyson, L., Hill, E. M., Hall, I., Pellis, L. & House, T., 7 Jul 2025, In: Journal of Theoretical Biology. 608, p. 112135Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
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Time-varying reproduction number estimation: fusing compartmental models with generalized additive models
Pang, X., Han, Y., Tressier, E., Abdul Aziz, N., Pellis, L., House, T. & Hall, I., 29 Jan 2025, In: Journal of the Royal Society Interface. 22, 222Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
Open Access
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Analytical Tools for FFX Studies and the Go.Data Framework
House, T. (PI) & Pellis, L. (CoI)
1/04/25 → 31/03/28
Project: Research
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SAU: Statistical Advisory Unit
Boshnakov, G. (PI), Charalambous, C. (PI), Foster, P. (PI), Hall, I. (PI), Han, Y. (PI), House, T. (PI), Johnson, O. (PI), Nadarajah, S. (PI), Strimmer, K. (PI), Waite, T. (PI), Yuan, J. (PI) & Bhattacharjee, M. (PI)
Project: Research
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Mathematical Epidemiology Group
Hall, I. (PI), House, T. (Researcher), Pellis, L. (Researcher), Riley, H. (Researcher), Scarabel, F. (Researcher), Whitfield, C. (Researcher), Xu, F. (Researcher), Xu, J. (Researcher), Curran-Sebastian, J. (PGR student), Das, R. (PGR student), Pang, X. (PGR student), Webb, L. (PGR student), Silva, M. (PGR student), Overton, C. (Researcher) & Stage, H. (Researcher)
Project: Research
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Applying for funding under the National Core Study: Covid Transmission
Van Tongeren, M. (PI), Verma, A. (CoI), Hall, I. (CoI), Ananiadou, S. (CoI), Bourne, N. (CoI), Carder, M. (CoI), Clayson, A. (CoI), Jones, A. (CoI), Mcconnell, J. (CoI), Stocks, J. (CoI) & House, T. (CoI)
1/10/20 → 31/03/22
Project: Research
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University of Cambridge
House, T. (Visiting researcher)
2014Activity: External visiting positions or secondments › Visiting an external academic institution › Research
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The University of Warwick
House, T. (Visiting researcher)
2014Activity: External visiting positions or secondments › Visiting an external academic institution › Research
Impacts
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Modelling in a pandemic: advising the UK response to COVID-19, and protecting enclosed communities
Pellis, L. (Participant), Hall, I. (Participant), House, T. (Participant), Overton, C. (Participant), Stage, H. (Participant) & Guettel, S. (Participant)
Impact: Health and wellbeing
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The role of vaccination and public awareness in forecasts of Mpox incidence in the United Kingdom
House, T. (Participant)
Impact: Health and wellbeing
Press/Media
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HUFFINGTON POST: Is Monkeypox Airborne? It's Not Quite As Simple As You Think
4/08/22
1 Media contribution
Press/Media: Expert comment
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FINANCIAL TIMES: Health experts warn end of mass Covid testing in UK may be premature
30/03/22
1 Media contribution
Press/Media: Expert comment
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THE TIMES: Covid threat not over as cases double in a month
11/03/22
1 Media contribution
Press/Media: Expert comment
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MANCHESTER EVENING NEWS: The 'young and vulnerable' dreading the end of isolation, masks and free testing
20/02/22
1 item of Media coverage
Press/Media: Expert comment
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MAIL ONLINE: Lockdowns COULD be eased regionally says No 10 as new data suggests just 24 people a day in London are catching coronavirus
15/05/20
1 Media contribution
Press/Media: Expert comment