A brief history of the future of manufacturing: US manufacturing technology forecasts in retrospective, 1950-present

J. Youtie, P. Shapira, A. Urmanbetova, J. Wang

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

This paper reviews the manufacturing technology forecasts made over the last five decades relative to the realisation of these predictions. Predictions as to how technology will evolve in future periods have had mixed records of fulfilment. Some manufacturing technologies have not fulfilled expectations (e.g. integration technologies in the 1980s) whereas others have greatly exceeded expected adoption rates (e.g. the internet in the 1990s). Moreover, technology forecasts did not occur in a vacuum; they were always conjoined with projections about how to manage these technologies, global responses to these technologies, and the impact they will have on employment and skill. Copyright © 2007 Inderscience Enterprises Ltd.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)311-331
Number of pages21
JournalInternational Journal of Foresight and Innovation Policy
Publication statusPublished - 2007

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