A probabilistic indicator of system stress

Daniel S. Kirschen, Dilan Jayaweera, Dusko P. Nedic, Ron N. Allan

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review


    This paper argues that probabilistic techniques give a more reliable indication of the level of stress in a power system and also of its inverse, the level of security. It proposes a technique to calculate a probabilistic indicator of the level of stress in a power system. This technique is based on the establishment of a calibrated scale of reference cases and on the use of correlated sampling in a Monte Carlo simulation. Test results obtained using a large power system are presented. © 2004 IEEE.
    Original languageEnglish
    Pages (from-to)1650-1657
    Number of pages7
    JournalIEEE Transactions on Power Systems
    Issue number3
    Publication statusPublished - Aug 2004


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