Adaptive Water Resource Planning Using Decision-Rules

Tohid Erfani; Julien J. Harou

doi:10.1016/j.advwatres.2021.103961

Adaptive Water Resource Planning Using Decision-Rules

Tohid Erfani, Julien J. Harou

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Abstract

Dealing with uncertainty in water resource planning is problematic because insufficient or underused infrastructure can have social and environmental costs. Multistage stochastic optimisation provides a mechanism to deal with this challenge in water supply capacity expansion planning. However, for real systems it can be mathematically hard and computationally expensive. The ‘Decision-rule’ formulation represents an attempt to remedy this by approximating the multistage problem where decisions at each stage are a function of the uncertainty and the state of the system. We introduce a family of rules to show how they approximate the multistage problem and investigate the implications of the approximation for adaptive water resources planning.

Original language	English
Article number	103961
Pages (from-to)	103961
Journal	Advances in Water Resources
Volume	154
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1016/j.advwatres.2021.103961
Publication status	Published - Aug 2021

Keywords

Adaptive water resource planning
Decision making under uncertainty
Decision rule
Multistage stochastic

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

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10.1016/j.advwatres.2021.103961

DecisionRule_vManuscript_RepositoryAccepted author manuscript, 1.95 MBLicence: CC BY

GCRF: DAMS 2.0: Design and assessment of resilient and sustainable interventions in water-energy-food-environment Mega-Systems
Hulme, D. (PI), Anderson, K. (CoI), Bottacin Busolin, A. (CoI), Dimova, R. (CoI), Foster, T. (CoI), Harou, J. (CoI), Imai, K. (CoI), Larkin, A. (CoI), Lavers, T. (CoI), Mancarella, P. (CoI), Mutale, J. (CoI), Panteli, M. (CoI), Sen, K. (CoI) & Whittington, D. (CoI)
1/10/17 → 31/12/21
Project: Research
Uncertainty reduction in Models For Understanding deveLopment Applications
Harou, J. (PI)
15/06/15 → 14/12/19
Project: Research

Cite this

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KW - Decision making under uncertainty

KW - Decision rule

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DO - 10.1016/j.advwatres.2021.103961

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SP - 103961

JO - Advances in Water Resources

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Adaptive Water Resource Planning Using Decision-Rules

Abstract

Keywords

UN SDGs

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Projects

GCRF: DAMS 2.0: Design and assessment of resilient and sustainable interventions in water-energy-food-environment Mega-Systems

Uncertainty reduction in Models For Understanding deveLopment Applications

Cite this