Belief rule-based system for portfolio optimisation with nonlinear cash-flows and constraints

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Abstract

A belief rule-based (BRB) system is a generic nonlinear modelling and inference scheme. It is based on the concept of belief structures and evidential reasoning (ER), and has been shown to be capable of capturing complicated nonlinear causal relationships between antecedent attributes and consequents. The aim of this paper is to develop a BRB system that complements the RiskMetrics WealthBench system for portfolio optimisation with nonlinear cash-flows and constraints. Two optimisation methods are presented to locate efficient portfolios under different constraints specified by the investors. Numerical studies demonstrate the effectiveness and efficiency of the proposed methodology. © 2012 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)775-784
Number of pages9
JournalEuropean Journal of Operational Research
Volume223
Issue number3
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 16 Dec 2012

Keywords

  • Belief rule base
  • Efficient frontier
  • Evidential reasoning
  • Portfolio optimisation

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