Can crude oil price returns drive stock returns of oil producing countries in Africa? Evidence from bivariate and multiple wavelet

Emmanuel Asafo-Adjei, Anokye M. Adam, Patrick Darkwa

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

We examine the time-frequency lead-lag relationships and degree of integration between crude oil price returns and stock returns of six oil-producing countries in Africa–Nigeria, Egypt, Ghana, Tunisia, South Africa and Morocco. The study employs daily data from January 2011 to October 2020, inclusive of the COVID-19 pandemic period, using bivariate and multiple wavelet. Generally, there is low interdependence between crude oil price returns and stock returns. We advocate that in periods of crude oil price shocks on other stock markets, African stocks provide diversification opportunities. Thus, a portfolio with African stocks offers immunity to global oil price shocks.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)59-77
Number of pages19
JournalMacroeconomics and Finance in Emerging Market Economies
Volume17
Issue number1
Early online date26 Jul 2021
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2 Jan 2024

Keywords

  • Covid-19 pandemic
  • Multiple correlations
  • comovements
  • financial market integration
  • lead-lag relationships
  • portfolio diversification

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