Capability and reliability of deep learning models to make density predictions on low-dose mammograms

Purpose
Breast density is associated with the risk of developing cancer and can be automatically estimated using deep learning models from digital mammograms. Our aim is to evaluate the capacity and reliability of such models to predict density from low-dose mammograms taken to enable risk estimates for younger women.

Approach
We trained deep learning models on standard-dose and simulated low-dose mammograms. The models were then tested on a mammography dataset with paired standard- and low-dose images. The effect of different factors (including age, density, and dose ratio) on the differences between predictions on standard and low doses is analyzed. Methods to improve performance are assessed, and factors that reduce the model quality are demonstrated.

Results
We showed that, although many factors have no significant effect on the quality of low-dose density prediction, both density and breast area have an impact. The correlation between density predictions on low- and standard-dose images of breasts with the largest breast area is 0.985 (0.949 to 0.995), whereas that with the smallest is 0.882 (0.697 to 0.961). We also demonstrated that averaging across craniocaudal-mediolateral oblique (CC-MLO) images and across repeatedly trained models can improve predictive performance.

Conclusions
Low-dose mammography can be used to produce density and risk estimates that are comparable to standard-dose images. Averaging across CC-MLO and model predictions should improve this performance. The model quality is reduced when making predictions on denser and smaller breasts.