Combining Labour Force Survey data to estimate migration flows: The case of migration from Poland to the UK

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Abstract

In May 2004, Poland and seven other countries from central and eastern Europe joined the European Union. This led to a massive emigration from Poland, especially to the UK. However, relatively little is known about the magnitude of migration flows after the 2004 enlargement of the European Union. In the paper Labour Force Survey data from the sending and receiving countries are utilized in a Bayesian model to estimate migration flows. The estimates are further combined with the output of the 'Integrated modelling of European migration' model. The combined results with accompanying measures of uncertainty can be used to validate other reported estimates of migration flows from Poland to the UK.

Original languageEnglish
JournalJournal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A: Statistics in Society
Early online date10 Mar 2016
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 6 Jan 2017

Keywords

  • Bayesian modelling
  • Combining data
  • Labour Force Survey
  • Migration flows
  • Poland
  • UK

Research Beacons, Institutes and Platforms

  • Cathie Marsh Institute

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