TY - GEN
T1 - Comparative Studies on Cost, Reliability and Resilience of Off-Grid Energy Systems
AU - Li, Wenzhu
AU - Galeela, Mohamed
AU - Panteli, Mathaios
AU - Martinez Cesena, Eduardo Alejandro
AU - Mancarella, Pierluigi
N1 - Funding Information:
ACKNOWLEDGMENT The authors gratefully acknowledge the financial support of the EPSRC-funded “Techno-Economic framework for Resilient and Sustainable Electrification” (EP/R030294/1) and the Newton Prize project “Resilient Planning of Low-Carbon Power Systems”.
Publisher Copyright:
© 2021 IEEE.
PY - 2021/6/28
Y1 - 2021/6/28
N2 - Rural electrification is critical for the social and economic development of developing countries. Off-grid energy systems are attractive solutions for rural electrification which may offer technical and economic benefits compared with network expansion. However, given the conditions in remote areas, off-grid energy systems are often exposed to high impact and low probability (HILP) events such as natural hazards. This is an issue as off-grid planning practices traditionally focus on average performance reliability indicators, and neglect studying resilience to HILP events. This paper proposes a practical off-grid assessment framework which brings together average and risk performance indices to optimally size off-grid energy systems and quantify their reliability and resilience performance. The proposed methodology, based on Sequential Monte Carlo simulations, is demonstrated with two off-grid energy systems: PV and CHP based systems. In addition, through case studies with applications on windstorms, the impacts of natural hazards are systematically quantified and explicitly considered in the sizing of the off-grid plant. Power system planners and operators can use this framework to quantify the reliability and resilience of off-grid energy systems and inform the decision-making on optimal portfolios for rural electrification.
AB - Rural electrification is critical for the social and economic development of developing countries. Off-grid energy systems are attractive solutions for rural electrification which may offer technical and economic benefits compared with network expansion. However, given the conditions in remote areas, off-grid energy systems are often exposed to high impact and low probability (HILP) events such as natural hazards. This is an issue as off-grid planning practices traditionally focus on average performance reliability indicators, and neglect studying resilience to HILP events. This paper proposes a practical off-grid assessment framework which brings together average and risk performance indices to optimally size off-grid energy systems and quantify their reliability and resilience performance. The proposed methodology, based on Sequential Monte Carlo simulations, is demonstrated with two off-grid energy systems: PV and CHP based systems. In addition, through case studies with applications on windstorms, the impacts of natural hazards are systematically quantified and explicitly considered in the sizing of the off-grid plant. Power system planners and operators can use this framework to quantify the reliability and resilience of off-grid energy systems and inform the decision-making on optimal portfolios for rural electrification.
KW - natural hazards
KW - off-grid systems
KW - reliability
KW - resilience
KW - rural electrification
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85112358302&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1109/PowerTech46648.2021.9495025
DO - 10.1109/PowerTech46648.2021.9495025
M3 - Conference contribution
AN - SCOPUS:85112358302
T3 - 2021 IEEE Madrid PowerTech, PowerTech 2021 - Conference Proceedings
SP - 1
EP - 6
BT - 2021 IEEE Madrid PowerTech, PowerTech 2021 - Conference Proceedings
PB - IEEE
T2 - 2021 IEEE Madrid PowerTech, PowerTech 2021
Y2 - 28 June 2021 through 2 July 2021
ER -
