Cost boundaries for future PV solar cell modules

B. Azzopardi, J. Mutale, D. Kirschen

    Research output: Chapter in Book/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review

    Abstract

    Growth of the photovoltaic (PV) market is still constrained by high initial capital costs of PV. Developments in PV technologies may lead to cheaper systems at the likely expense of life expectancy and efficiency. Cost boundaries are required for future PV technologies to compete effectively within the current PV market. This paper develops a methodology based on life-cycle costing and sensitivity analysis to determine cost boundaries for new PV technologies. Amongst other comparisons with existing PV systems, the upper Wattpeak cost bounds are estimated and the minimum economically viable replacement period is illustrated. Furthermore, future PV system ratings are compared to current PV systems for similar energy outputs. The results show that a price reduction factor greater than 5 is competitive for future solar cell lifetimes of less than 4-5 years. Meanwhile, future PV systems were, on balance, found to have higher ratings compared to current PV systems of similar energy outputs. The potential application of the model developed in this work is also discussed. © 2008 IEEE.
    Original languageEnglish
    Title of host publication2008 IEEE International Conference on Sustainable Energy Technologies, ICSET 2008|IEEE Int. Conf. Sustainable Energy Technol., ICSET
    Pages589-594
    Number of pages5
    DOIs
    Publication statusPublished - 2008
    Event2008 IEEE International Conference on Sustainable Energy Technologies, ICSET 2008 - Singapore
    Duration: 1 Jul 2008 → …

    Conference

    Conference2008 IEEE International Conference on Sustainable Energy Technologies, ICSET 2008
    CitySingapore
    Period1/07/08 → …

    Keywords

    • Efficiency degradation
    • Hybrid QD-based solar cells
    • Life cycle costing
    • Life expectancy
    • Photovoltaic (PV)

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