Delay, feedback and quenching in financial markets

P. S. Grassia

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

    Abstract

    An asset whose price exhibits geometric Brownian motion is analysed. The basic Brownian motion model is modified to account for the effects of market delay and investor feedback. A Langevin equation model is appropriate. When the feedback coupling is sufficiently strong, the market dynamics switches from a slow random walk behaviour to a rapid unstable behaviour with a fast time scale characteristic of the market delay. The unstable runaway behaviour is subsequently quenched by investors deserting a collapsing market or saturating a booming one. This quenching effect is sufficient to ensure long term bounding of the asset price. A form of market sabotage is demonstrated in which investors can push the market from a stable to an unstable regime.
    Original languageEnglish
    Pages (from-to)347-362
    Number of pages15
    JournalEuropean Physical Journal B
    Volume17
    Issue number2
    DOIs
    Publication statusPublished - 2 Sept 2000

    Keywords

    • 02.50.Ey Stochastic processes
    • 89.90.+n Other areas of general interest to physicists

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