Duration, trading volume and the price impact of trades in an emerging futures market

Michael Bowe, Stuart Hyde, Lavern McFarlane

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review


This paper examines the price impact of trading intensity on the MexDer TIIE28 interest rate futures contract, one of the world's most actively traded contracts. A novel volume-augmented duration model of price discovery decomposes trading intensity into liquidity and information components. Duration between transactions exerts a positive influence on price changes, while increases in order flow and trade volume exert positive and negative influences, respectively. The liquidity component dominates the information measure, suggesting that liquidity considerations dictate trade timing. These findings are rationalized with reference to MexDer's organizational structure, specifically the affirmative obligations placed upon marketmakers to trade a minimum volume. © 2013 Elsevier B.V.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)89-105
Number of pages16
JournalEmerging Markets Review
Publication statusPublished - Dec 2013


  • Autoregressive conditional duration
  • Autoregressive conditional volume
  • Liquidity
  • Marketmaker obligations


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