Abstract
Introduction
Much of the scientific interest around dioxins and PCBs has arisen from incidents that have resulted in human exposure. Since these compounds bioaccumulate, and because food is an important source of human exposure, those incidents whereby food has been contaminated have been particularly relevant. In addition to the primary concerns that relate to human health, there is a large economic cost associated with such incidents. This is not only related to the cost of removing food from the market and destroying it (which is relatively easy to estimate), but also can be much wider in terms of costs of analytical laboratory testing, brand reputation, consumer changes in food choices and behaviour etc.. These associated costs can be much more difficult to estimate, but can be considerably higher and longer lasting than the immediate direct financial impact.
As part of the EU funded EU-China-Safe project, the costs of global food incidents that have had an impact on both regions have been identified for economic analysis looking at all such factors in an attempt to estimate the true and total cost of food incidents, using the dioxins in Irish pork and produce incident of 2008 as an example for a case study. The incident arising in China involving melamine in milk products will be used as a second example. The analysis will be performed and compared using the EU Common Agricultural Policy Regional Impact Model (CAPRI) and the Chinese Agricultural Policy Simulation and Projection Model (CAPSIM) for food safety policy analysis as tools to perform ex-ante evaluation modelling.
Specific objectives include:
•To review existing economic evaluations that have been made of the incident, including both direct andindirect costs;
•To develop the CAPRI and CAPSIM modelling systems within a food safety policy framework for theassessment of food outbreak economic impact in terms of production and consumption within the agriculturalsector in EU and China;
•To evaluate food safety policy scenarios and their potential impact on trade between the EU and China;
•To validate the CAPRI and CAPSIM modelling systems in terms of adherence with developments to date infood safety regulations.
Much of the scientific interest around dioxins and PCBs has arisen from incidents that have resulted in human exposure. Since these compounds bioaccumulate, and because food is an important source of human exposure, those incidents whereby food has been contaminated have been particularly relevant. In addition to the primary concerns that relate to human health, there is a large economic cost associated with such incidents. This is not only related to the cost of removing food from the market and destroying it (which is relatively easy to estimate), but also can be much wider in terms of costs of analytical laboratory testing, brand reputation, consumer changes in food choices and behaviour etc.. These associated costs can be much more difficult to estimate, but can be considerably higher and longer lasting than the immediate direct financial impact.
As part of the EU funded EU-China-Safe project, the costs of global food incidents that have had an impact on both regions have been identified for economic analysis looking at all such factors in an attempt to estimate the true and total cost of food incidents, using the dioxins in Irish pork and produce incident of 2008 as an example for a case study. The incident arising in China involving melamine in milk products will be used as a second example. The analysis will be performed and compared using the EU Common Agricultural Policy Regional Impact Model (CAPRI) and the Chinese Agricultural Policy Simulation and Projection Model (CAPSIM) for food safety policy analysis as tools to perform ex-ante evaluation modelling.
Specific objectives include:
•To review existing economic evaluations that have been made of the incident, including both direct andindirect costs;
•To develop the CAPRI and CAPSIM modelling systems within a food safety policy framework for theassessment of food outbreak economic impact in terms of production and consumption within the agriculturalsector in EU and China;
•To evaluate food safety policy scenarios and their potential impact on trade between the EU and China;
•To validate the CAPRI and CAPSIM modelling systems in terms of adherence with developments to date infood safety regulations.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Journal | Organohalogen Compounds |
| Publication status | Published - 31 Aug 2019 |