Abstract
The Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD) is expected to dou- ble Ethiopia’s electricity generation and impact River Nile flows to Sudan and Egypt. We analyse potential economy-wide impacts on Sudan of the GERD’s long-term operation using a computable general equilibrium model and outputs of previous studies from biophysical models. Based on a 20% increase in hydropower and an assumed rapid irrigation expansion timeline, the results show that the GERD could help increase Sudan's accumulated gross domestic product (GDP) by US$47-83 billion over the period 2020-60 (exclud- ing initial investment costs and other GERD negative and positive impacts). The choice of crops in new irrigation schemes is key to increasing Sudan’s macro-economic benefits.
Original language | English |
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Number of pages | 17 |
Journal | Water International |
DOIs | |
Publication status | Published - 9 Mar 2021 |
Keywords
- Computable general equilibrium
- Eastern Nile Basin
- Irrigation
- Hydropower
- Transboundary water resources
- Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD)
Research Beacons, Institutes and Platforms
- Manchester Environmental Research Institute