TY - JOUR
T1 - External validation of brain arteriovenous malformation haemorrhage scores, AVICH, ICH and R2eD
AU - Taweel, Basel A
AU - Gillespie, Conor S
AU - Richardson, George E
AU - Mustafa, Mohammad A
AU - Ali, Tamara
AU - Islim, Abdurrahman I
AU - Hannan, Cathal J
AU - Chavredakis, Emmanuel
N1 - © 2022. The Author(s).
PY - 2022/6
Y1 - 2022/6
N2 - PURPOSE: To externally validate the arteriovenous malformation-related intracerebral haemorrhage (AVICH), intracerebral haemorrhage (ICH), and novel haemorrhage presentation risk score (R2eD) in brain arteriovenous malformations.METHODS: Adult patients diagnosed radiologically with an arteriovenous malformation (AVM) at a tertiary neurosurgical centre between 2007 and 2018 were eligible for inclusion. Both the AVICH and ICH scores were calculated for AVM-related symptomatic haemorrhage (SH) and compared against the modified Rankin scale (mRS) at discharge and last follow-up, with unfavourable outcome defined as mRS > 2. R2eD scores were stratified based on presentation with SH. External validity was assessed using Harrel's C-statistic.RESULTS: Two hundred fifty patients were included. Mean age at diagnosis was 46.2 years [SD = 16.5]). Eighty-seven patients (34.8%) had a SH, with 83 included in the analysis. Unfavourable mRS outcome was seen in 18 (21.6%) patients at discharge and 18 (21.6%) patients at last follow-up. The AVICH score C-statistic was 0.67 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.53-0.80) at discharge and 0.70 (95% CI, 0.56-0.84) at last follow-up. The ICH score C-statistic was 0.78 (95% CI 0.67-0.88), at discharge and 0.80 (95% CI 0.69-0.91) at last follow-up. The R2eD score C-statistic for predicting AVM haemorrhage was 0.60 (95% CI, 0.53-0.67).CONCLUSIONS: The AVICH score showed fair-poor performance, while the ICH score showed good-fair performance. The R2eD score demonstrated poor performance, and its clinical utility in predicting AVM haemorrhage remains unclear.
AB - PURPOSE: To externally validate the arteriovenous malformation-related intracerebral haemorrhage (AVICH), intracerebral haemorrhage (ICH), and novel haemorrhage presentation risk score (R2eD) in brain arteriovenous malformations.METHODS: Adult patients diagnosed radiologically with an arteriovenous malformation (AVM) at a tertiary neurosurgical centre between 2007 and 2018 were eligible for inclusion. Both the AVICH and ICH scores were calculated for AVM-related symptomatic haemorrhage (SH) and compared against the modified Rankin scale (mRS) at discharge and last follow-up, with unfavourable outcome defined as mRS > 2. R2eD scores were stratified based on presentation with SH. External validity was assessed using Harrel's C-statistic.RESULTS: Two hundred fifty patients were included. Mean age at diagnosis was 46.2 years [SD = 16.5]). Eighty-seven patients (34.8%) had a SH, with 83 included in the analysis. Unfavourable mRS outcome was seen in 18 (21.6%) patients at discharge and 18 (21.6%) patients at last follow-up. The AVICH score C-statistic was 0.67 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.53-0.80) at discharge and 0.70 (95% CI, 0.56-0.84) at last follow-up. The ICH score C-statistic was 0.78 (95% CI 0.67-0.88), at discharge and 0.80 (95% CI 0.69-0.91) at last follow-up. The R2eD score C-statistic for predicting AVM haemorrhage was 0.60 (95% CI, 0.53-0.67).CONCLUSIONS: The AVICH score showed fair-poor performance, while the ICH score showed good-fair performance. The R2eD score demonstrated poor performance, and its clinical utility in predicting AVM haemorrhage remains unclear.
KW - Adult
KW - Brain
KW - Cerebral Hemorrhage/diagnostic imaging
KW - Humans
KW - Intracranial Arteriovenous Malformations/diagnosis
KW - Intracranial Hemorrhages/diagnostic imaging
KW - Retrospective Studies
KW - Treatment Outcome
UR - https://www.scopus.com/pages/publications/85128407623
U2 - 10.1007/s00701-022-05190-1
DO - 10.1007/s00701-022-05190-1
M3 - Article
C2 - 35435515
SN - 0001-6268
VL - 164
SP - 1685
EP - 1692
JO - Acta Neurochirurgica
JF - Acta Neurochirurgica
IS - 6
ER -