Activities per year
Abstract
Wildfire is already a significant problem in parts of the UK’s rural-urban interface (RUI). With escalating demand for housing, urban areas will continue to expand into the countryside, bringing sources of ignition closer to the fuel. This research aims to develop a method for mapping and costing residential property assets at risk for wildfire threat analysis in the RUI and estimating avoided economic losses under different fire spread scenarios. Types of RUI around Crowthorne Wood (Swinley Forest, Berkshire) will be mapped by adapting a GIS-based Wildland-Urban Interface (WUI) model. House prices prior to the 2011 fire will be used to assign monetary values. Overlaying IRS wildfire locations will highlight ignition-prone RUI types. Fire footprints simulated for different weather scenarios using Prometheus fire spread modelling and the actual surveyed footprint (courtesy of Dr Thomas Smith, Kings College London, and the Forestry Commission, respectively) will be overlaid on the costed RUI map. Avoided costs are estimated by comparing costs of the property affected in actual and simulated fire footprints. Many assumptions are required, but a monetary estimate of what might have happened (costs avoided) would raise awareness of wildfire risk, help target prevention and help quantify the economic benefits of good wildfire risk management.
Original language | English |
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Publication status | Published - 2015 |
Event | Wildfires 2015 - Cambuslang, Glasgow Duration: 10 Nov 2015 → 11 Nov 2015 |
Conference
Conference | Wildfires 2015 |
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City | Cambuslang, Glasgow |
Period | 10/11/15 → 11/11/15 |
Keywords
- wildfire
- Rural-urban interface (RUI)
- forest fire
- residential property
- house prices
- assets at risk
- GIS
- Prometheus fire spread modelling
- fire footprint
- Swinley Forest fire
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Dive into the research topics of 'Fire in the UK Rural-Urban Interface: estimating avoided costs to residential property assets'. Together they form a unique fingerprint.Activities
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Wildfires 2015: The UK Wildfire Prevention Conference
Bruce, M. (Chair), Stacey, R. (Member of programme committee), Mcmorrow, J. (Member of programme committee), Gazzard, R. (Other) & Hedley, P. (Other)
9 Oct 2015 → 11 Nov 2015Activity: Participating in or organising event(s) › Organising a conference, workshop, exhibition, performance, inquiry, course etc › Research
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