Impact of COVID-19 on broad-spectrum antibiotic prescribing for common infections in primary care in England: a time-series analyses using OpenSAFELY and effects of predictors including deprivation

Xiaomin Zhong, Alexander Pate, Ya-Ting Yang, Ali Fahmi, Darren Ashcroft, Ben Goldacre, Brian Mackenna, Amir Mehrkar, Sebastian CJ. Bacon, Jon Massey, Louis Fisher, Peter Inglesby, OpenSAFELY collaborative, Kieran Hand, Tjeerd Van Staa, Victoria Palin

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

Background: The COVID-19 pandemic impacted the healthcare systems, adding extra pressure to reduce antimicrobial resistance. Therefore, we aimed to evaluate changes in antibiotic prescription patterns after COVID-19 started. Methods: With the approval of NHS England, we used the OpenSAFELY platform to access the TPP SystmOne electronic health record (EHR) system in primary care and selected patients prescribed antibiotics from 2019 to 2021. To evaluate the impact of COVID-19 on broad-spectrum antibiotic prescribing, we evaluated prescribing rates and its predictors and used interrupted time series analysis by fitting binomial logistic regression models. Findings: Over 32 million antibiotic prescriptions were extracted over the study period; 8.7% were broad-spectrum. The study showed increases in broad-spectrum antibiotic prescribing (odds ratio [OR] 1.37; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.36–1.38) as an immediate impact of the pandemic, followed by a gradual recovery with a 1.1–1.2% decrease in odds of broad-spectrum prescription per month. The same pattern was found within subgroups defined by age, sex, region, ethnicity, and socioeconomic deprivation quintiles. More deprived patients were more likely to receive broad-spectrum antibiotics, which differences remained stable over time. The most significant increase in broad-spectrum prescribing was observed for lower respiratory tract infection (OR 2.33; 95% CI 2.1–2.50) and otitis media (OR 1.96; 95% CI 1.80–2.13). Interpretation: An immediate reduction in antibiotic prescribing and an increase in the proportion of broad-spectrum antibiotic prescribing in primary care was observed. The trends recovered to pre-pandemic levels, but the consequence of the COVID-19 pandemic on AMR needs further investigation. Funding: This work was supported by Health Data Research UK and by National Institute for Health Research.

Original languageEnglish
Article number100653
JournalThe Lancet Regional Health – Europe
Volume30
Early online date16 May 2023
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 1 Jul 2023

Keywords

  • Antimicrobial resistance
  • Broad-spectrum antibiotics
  • COVID-19 pandemic
  • Primary care

Fingerprint

Dive into the research topics of 'Impact of COVID-19 on broad-spectrum antibiotic prescribing for common infections in primary care in England: a time-series analyses using OpenSAFELY and effects of predictors including deprivation'. Together they form a unique fingerprint.

Cite this