Improving the Forecasting function for a Credit Hire operator in the UK

N. Savio, K Bozos, K Nikolopoulos

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    Abstract

    This study aims to test on the predictability of Credit Hire services for the Automobile & Insurance Industry; a relatively sophisticated time-series forecasting procedure, which conducts a competition among exponential smoothing models, is utilised as to forecast demand for a leading UK Credit Hire Operator (CHO) and the generated forecasts are compared with the Naïve method, resulting that demand for CHO services is indeed extremely hard to forecast as the underlying variable is the number of road accidents – a true stochastic variable.
    Original languageEnglish
    Pages (from-to)134-138
    JournalInternational Journal of Business Forecasting and Marketing Intelligence
    Volume1
    Issue number2
    DOIs
    Publication statusPublished - Jun 2009

    Keywords

    • Forecasting, Exponential Smoothing, Credit Hire Operators, Automobile & Insurance Industry, United Kingdom

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