International Environmental Agreements with Uncertainty, Learning and Risk Aversion

Michael Finus, Pintassilgo Pedro, Alistair Ulph

Research output: Preprint/Working paperWorking paper

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Abstract

Uncertainty and learning play an important role for the formation of international environmental agreements (IEAs). For instance, scientific uncertainty about climate damages and technological abatement and mitigations options is still large despite ongoing research. It has been shown that in the strategic context of voluntary participation but strong free-rider incentives, learning may have a negative impact on the success of IEAs. This paper extends the model of Kolstad (2007) and Kolstad and Ulph (2008) by considering risk aversion. This seems suggestive as uncertainties in climate change are highly correlated and hence pooling risks may be limited. It is shown that the negative conclusion with respect to the role of learning derived for risk neutrality has to be qualified.
Original languageEnglish
Place of PublicationUniversity of Manchester
Number of pages38
Publication statusPublished - Jul 2010

Publication series

NameSCI discussion paper
PublisherSustainable Consumption Institute
No.6

Keywords

  • international environmental agreements
  • uncertainty
  • learning and risk-aversion
  • game theory

Research Beacons, Institutes and Platforms

  • Sustainable Consumption Institute

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