Learning T2D evolving complexity from EMR and administrative data by means of Continuous time Bayesian networks

Simone Marini, Arianna Dagliati, Lucia Sacchi, Riccardo Bellazzi

Research output: Chapter in Book/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review

Abstract

Predicting the complexity level (i.e. the number of complications and their related hospitalizations) in a T2D cohort is a critical step in prevention, resource optimization and overall patient management. Our data set was obtained by monitoring a T2D diabetic cohort along up to 10 years through electronic medical records of a local healthcare agency data warehouse. In order to conveniently handle temporarily sparse data, we designed a model describing the cohort evolution with Continuous Time Bayesian Networks (CTBN). The network structure and its parameters are entirely data driven. Compared to traditional Bayesian Networks, CTBNs admit cycles. As consequence, CTBNs fit the complexity of chronic metabolic syndromes where variables show a reciprocal influence. Network nodes represent metabolic (glycated hemoglobin, lipid profile (cholesterol, triglycerides), and biometric (BMI) data. We observed how these variables directly or indirectly affect the disease level of complexity, and how the variables influence the cumulative adverse events a patient undergoes.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationHEALTHINF 2016 - 9th International Conference on Health Informatics, Proceedings; Part of 9th International Joint Conference on Biomedical Engineering Systems and Technologies, BIOSTEC 2016
EditorsHaim Azhari, Hesham Ali, Ana Fred, James Gilbert, Carolina Ruiz, Jan Sliwa, Carla Quintao, Hugo Gamboa
PublisherScience and Technology Publications Lda
Pages338-344
Number of pages7
ISBN (Electronic)9789897581700
Publication statusPublished - 1 Jan 2016
Event9th International Conference on Health Informatics, HEALTHINF 2016 - Part of 9th International Joint Conference on Biomedical Engineering Systems and Technologies, BIOSTEC 2016 - Rome, Italy
Duration: 21 Feb 201623 Feb 2016

Conference

Conference9th International Conference on Health Informatics, HEALTHINF 2016 - Part of 9th International Joint Conference on Biomedical Engineering Systems and Technologies, BIOSTEC 2016
Country/TerritoryItaly
CityRome
Period21/02/1623/02/16

Keywords

  • Cohort modeling
  • Continuous time Bayesian network
  • Disease complexity
  • Type 2 diabetes

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