TY - JOUR
T1 - Long lags or seasonal mis-specification? A note on co-integration testing and the consumption function
AU - Albertson, Kevin
AU - Aylen, Jonathan
PY - 2009
Y1 - 2009
N2 - Writing in this journal, Sumner (2004) advocates use of long lag lengths when conducting co-integration tests. Replication of Sumner's consumption model suggests long lag lengths are a mis-specification: the true underlying model is periodic. We test for periodically distributed unit roots - unit roots that differ with the season and vary with past behaviour. Co-integration between income and consumption, based on a periodic error correction model, is rejected. A PADL specification is preferred for modelling the income-consumption relationship, using seasonally unadjusted data.
AB - Writing in this journal, Sumner (2004) advocates use of long lag lengths when conducting co-integration tests. Replication of Sumner's consumption model suggests long lag lengths are a mis-specification: the true underlying model is periodic. We test for periodically distributed unit roots - unit roots that differ with the season and vary with past behaviour. Co-integration between income and consumption, based on a periodic error correction model, is rejected. A PADL specification is preferred for modelling the income-consumption relationship, using seasonally unadjusted data.
U2 - 10.1080/13504850601018387
DO - 10.1080/13504850601018387
M3 - Article
SN - 1350-4851
VL - 16
SP - 267
EP - 271
JO - Applied Economics Letters
JF - Applied Economics Letters
IS - 3
ER -