Projects per year
Abstract
A considerable amount of literature has been published on global and migration scenarios in recent decades. Central to the migration scenarios and narratives are the concepts of migration drivers and migration dynamics. Demographic, economic, technological, social, political, and environmental developments and complex interrelations between these domains are considered essential in creating plausible future migration developments. This report provides a set of internally consistent and evidence-based qualitative scenario narratives.
The narratives are built on consistent demographic, socio-economic, environmental and political alternate futures generated for the EU and developing countries based on the qualitative and quantitative evidence gathered in the FUME project. Each narrative describes the future for the EU and developing countries in the short-term until 2030 and in the long-term between 2030 and 2050. These alternative futures are complemented by the potential changes in the future migratory demand and pressure from the expert survey conducted in the project and the characteristics of future migrants from the Delphi survey.
The narratives are built on consistent demographic, socio-economic, environmental and political alternate futures generated for the EU and developing countries based on the qualitative and quantitative evidence gathered in the FUME project. Each narrative describes the future for the EU and developing countries in the short-term until 2030 and in the long-term between 2030 and 2050. These alternative futures are complemented by the potential changes in the future migratory demand and pressure from the expert survey conducted in the project and the characteristics of future migrants from the Delphi survey.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Publisher | Zenodo |
| ISBN (Electronic) | 978-91-8001-069-6 |
| DOIs | |
| Publication status | Published - 25 Jul 2023 |
Research Beacons, Institutes and Platforms
- Cathie Marsh Institute
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Dive into the research topics of 'Migration Scenario Narratives'. Together they form a unique fingerprint.Projects
- 2 Finished
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Estimating within EU migration flows with new temporal definitions using big data
Wisniowski, A. (PI)
1/12/19 → 30/11/22
Project: Research
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Statistical Modelling
Onah, C. N. (PI), Shlomo, N. (PI), Chandola, T. (PI), Schoch, D. (PI), Cuitún Coronado, J. (PI), Aparicio-Castro, A. (PI), Thestrup, S. (PI), Olsen, W. K. (PI), Cernat, A. (PI), Shryane, N. (PI), Wisniowski, A. (PI), Smith, D. (PI), Aparicio-Castro, A. (PI), Shafie, T. (PI), Hannemann, T. (PI), Morales-Gómez, A. (PI), Mellon, J. (PI), Troncoso Ruiz, P. (PI), Taub, J. (PI), Murphy, J. (PI), Guest, E. (PI), Kim, J. (PI), Watson, J. (PI), Pashazadeh, F. (PI), Hoór, D. (PI), Jones, P. (PI) & Gosling, Z. (Support team)
1/08/19 → 30/09/22
Project: Research