Modelling the impact of pandemic influenza in the UK

T. Griffin; R. Gani; D. Fleming; I. Hall; C. Penn; Steve Leach

doi:10.1016/j.ics.2004.02.089

Modelling the impact of pandemic influenza in the UK

T. Griffin, R. Gani, D. Fleming, I. Hall, C. Penn, Steve Leach

Statistics

University of Liverpool

Research output: Contribution to journal › Conference article › peer-review

Abstract

Work to estimate the spatial/temporal spread of pandemic influenza across the UK and assessing of the relative impact of different intervention strategies on the estimated burden of disease is being conducted at the Health Protection Agency-Porton Down in order to aid the formulation of the UK pandemic influenza plan. Two separate modelling strategies have been employed: a static model to assess levels of morbidity and mortality within different age and risk groups and a spatial-temporal model for spatially referenced intervention strategies. Here, we show how these modelling strategies are being applied and discuss how they can be combined to further extend their utility.

Original language	English
Pages (from-to)	243-246
Number of pages	4
Journal	International Congress Series
Volume	1263
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ics.2004.02.089
Publication status	Published - Jun 2004

Keywords

Pandemic influenza
Pandemic planning
Epidemic modelling

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

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10.1016/j.ics.2004.02.089

Cite this

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abstract = "Work to estimate the spatial/temporal spread of pandemic influenza across the UK and assessing of the relative impact of different intervention strategies on the estimated burden of disease is being conducted at the Health Protection Agency-Porton Down in order to aid the formulation of the UK pandemic influenza plan. Two separate modelling strategies have been employed: a static model to assess levels of morbidity and mortality within different age and risk groups and a spatial-temporal model for spatially referenced intervention strategies. Here, we show how these modelling strategies are being applied and discuss how they can be combined to further extend their utility.",

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AU - Gani, R.

AU - Fleming, D.

AU - Hall, I.

AU - Penn, C.

AU - Leach, Steve

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AB - Work to estimate the spatial/temporal spread of pandemic influenza across the UK and assessing of the relative impact of different intervention strategies on the estimated burden of disease is being conducted at the Health Protection Agency-Porton Down in order to aid the formulation of the UK pandemic influenza plan. Two separate modelling strategies have been employed: a static model to assess levels of morbidity and mortality within different age and risk groups and a spatial-temporal model for spatially referenced intervention strategies. Here, we show how these modelling strategies are being applied and discuss how they can be combined to further extend their utility.

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KW - Pandemic planning

KW - Epidemic modelling

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DO - 10.1016/j.ics.2004.02.089

M3 - Conference article

SN - 0531-5131

VL - 1263

SP - 243

EP - 246

JO - International Congress Series

JF - International Congress Series

ER -

Modelling the impact of pandemic influenza in the UK

Abstract

Keywords

UN SDGs

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