Multi-stage biomarker models for progression estimation in Alzheimer’s disease

Alexander Schmidt-Richberg*, Ricardo Guerrero, Christian Ledig, Helena Molina-Abril, Alejandro F. Frangi, Daniel Rueckert, Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Chapter in Book/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review

Abstract

The estimation of disease progression in Alzheimer’s disease (AD) based on a vector of quantitative biomarkers is of high interest to clinicians, patients, and biomedical researchers alike. In this work, quantile regression is employed to learn statistical models describing the evolution of such biomarkers. Two separate models are constructed using (1) subjects that progress from a cognitively normal (CN) stage to mild cognitive impairment (MCI) and (2) subjects that progress from MCI to AD during the observation window of a longitudinal study. These models are then automatically combined to develop a multi-stage disease progression model for the whole disease course. A probabilistic approach is derived to estimate the current disease progress (DP) and the disease progression rate (DPR) of a given individual by fitting any acquired biomarkers to these models. A particular strength of this method is that it is applicable even if individual biomarker measurements are missing for the subject. Employing cognitive scores and image-based biomarkers, the presented method is used to estimate DP and DPR for subjects from the Alzheimer’s Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI). Further, the potential use of these values as features for different classification tasks is demonstrated. For example, accuracy of 64% is reached for CN vs. MCI vs. AD classification.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationInformation Processing in Medical Imaging
Subtitle of host publication24th International Conference, IPMI 2015, Sabhal Mor Ostaig, Isle of Skye, UK, June 28 - July 3, 2015, Proceedings
EditorsSebastien Ourselin, Daniel C. Alexander, Carl-Fredrik Westin, M. Jorge Cardoso
Place of PublicationCham
PublisherSpringer Cham
Pages387-398
Number of pages13
Volume9123
ISBN (Electronic)9783319199924
ISBN (Print)9783319199917
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 22 Jun 2015
Event24th International Conference on Information Processing in Medical Imaging, IPMI 2015 - Isle of Skye, United Kingdom
Duration: 28 Jun 20153 Jul 2015

Publication series

NameLecture Notes in Computer Science
PublisherSpringer Nature
Volume9123
ISSN (Print)0302-9743
ISSN (Electronic)1611-3349

Conference

Conference24th International Conference on Information Processing in Medical Imaging, IPMI 2015
Country/TerritoryUnited Kingdom
CityIsle of Skye
Period28/06/153/07/15

Keywords

  • mild cognitive impairment
  • quantile regression
  • cognitive score
  • cognitive normal
  • disease progression rate

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