Non-deforestation drivers of fires are increasingly important sources of aerosol and carbon dioxide emissions across Amazonia

William Morgan, Eoghan Darbyshire, Dominick V. Spracklen, Paulo Artaxo, Hugh Coe

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

Deforestation rates have declined substantially across the Brazilian Legal Amazon (BLA) over the period from 2000-2017. However, reductions in re, aerosol and carbon dioxide have been far less signicant than deforestation, even when accounting for inter-annual variability in precipitation. Our observations and analysis support a decoupling between re and deforestation that has exacerbated forest degradation in the BLA. Basing aerosol and carbon dioxide emissions on deforestation rates, without accounting for forest degradation will bias these important climate and ecosystem-health parameters low, both now and in the future. Recent increases in deforestation rate since 2014 will enhance such degradation, particularly during drought conditions, increasing emissions of aerosol and greenhouse gases. Given Brazil's committed Nationally Determined Contribution under the Paris Agreement, failure to account for forest degradation res will paint a false picture of prior progress and potentially have profound implications for both regional and global climate.
Original languageEnglish
Article number16975
Pages (from-to)1-15
Number of pages15
JournalScientific Reports
Volume9
Early online date18 Nov 2019
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2020

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