TY - JOUR
T1 - On the predictability of firm performance via simple time-series and econometric models: Evidence from UK SMEs
AU - Bamiatzi, Vicky
AU - Bozos, Konstantinos
AU - Nikolopoulos, Konstantinos
PY - 2010/2
Y1 - 2010/2
N2 - This article examines the predictive accuracy of simple time-series and econometric models on forecasting firm performance in terms of sales turnover. Evidence from Small and Medium sized Enterprises (SMEs) in the United Kingdom are presented. The study identifies operational rules under which the class of simple econometric regression models is more accurate than simple time-series forecasting alternatives, thus more appropriate to back-up multiple investment decisions. © 2010 Taylor & Francis.
AB - This article examines the predictive accuracy of simple time-series and econometric models on forecasting firm performance in terms of sales turnover. Evidence from Small and Medium sized Enterprises (SMEs) in the United Kingdom are presented. The study identifies operational rules under which the class of simple econometric regression models is more accurate than simple time-series forecasting alternatives, thus more appropriate to back-up multiple investment decisions. © 2010 Taylor & Francis.
U2 - 10.1080/13504850701720163
DO - 10.1080/13504850701720163
M3 - Article
SN - 1350-4851
VL - 17
SP - 279
EP - 282
JO - Applied Economics Letters
JF - Applied Economics Letters
IS - 3
ER -