Stability conditions for heteroscedastic factor models with conditionally autoregressive betas

George A. Christodoulakis, Stephen E. Satchell

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

We characterize the stability properties of a heteroscedastic multi-factor model of financial asset returns, with conditionally known factors and beta coefficients driven by general conditionally autoregressive processes. These processes generalize existing structures and address a number of empirical issues of current concern. Our analysis derives closed-form sufficient conditions for the existence of strict stationary solutions for the composite asset conditional variances and covariances, not known previously in the literature. It is shown that stability is guaranteed when individual-process and cross-process restrictions hold simultaneously. Our results are also applicable to the study of the co-movement between volatility and beta coefficients as well as between beta coefficients themselves. © 2011 Blackwell Publishing Ltd.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)482-497
Number of pages15
JournalJournal of Time Series Analysis
Volume32
Issue number5
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Sept 2011

Keywords

  • Beta coefficient
  • Evolution
  • Factor models
  • Forecasting
  • Persistence
  • Pricing
  • Stability
  • Stationarity

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