Taiwan’s perilous futures: Chinese Nationalism, the 2020 Presidential Elections, and U.S.-China Tensions Spell Trouble for Cross-strait Relations

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Abstract

The Taiwan Strait is heating up, as Mainland Chinese netizens, generals, and
politicians increasingly talk about ‘forceful’ rather than ‘peaceful’ reunification.
While Xi Jinping and Chinese nationalists desperately desire Taiwan’s reunification,
Trump’s isolationist “America First” rhetoric has only encouraged reckless
Chinese thinking about forcing reunification, and the Taiwanese remain largely
passive, unable to confront an overwhelming threat. Wishful thinking in Beijing,
Taipei, and Washington is increasing the odds of miscalculation. The 2020 presidential elections in Taiwan and the United States, and the ongoing U.S.-China
trade war, furthermore, bode ill for peace in the Taiwan Strait.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)40-61
Number of pages22
JournalWorld Affairs (Washington): a journal of ideas and debate
Volume183
Issue number1
Early online date9 Mar 2020
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Mar 2020

Keywords

  • Chinese Nationalism
  • Forceful Reunification
  • Taiwan Strait
  • U.S.-China Relations
  • Xi Jinping

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