Abstract
Purpose: This essay aims to introduce horizon scanning as an approach fundamental to most foresight studies. Design/methodology/approach: The essay combines a general review of the topic with an overview of a range of horizon-scanning approaches that are in use in the UK health system. Findings: Different approaches - shorter as well as longer-term, searching as well as broad scanning - are appropriate in different circumstances. In times of systemic change it is necessary to combine approaches of all types. Research limitations/implications: Only a small sample of the huge range of horizon-scanning exercises has been studied, and the essay has not gone far into the question of how horizon-scanning relates to other elements of the foresight process. Practical implications: The implication is that horizon-scanning should be undertaken on a routine basis, and should be integrated into planning activities from the start. Social implications: Horizon-scanning is a tool needed in activities such as planning for the workforce, and for health and safety issues. Originality/value: The essay covers a wide range of activities with real-life illustrations in addition to overall assessment. © Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
Original language | English |
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Pages (from-to) | 530-545 |
Number of pages | 15 |
Journal | Foresight |
Volume | 14 |
Issue number | 6 |
DOIs | |
Publication status | Published - Nov 2012 |
Keywords
- Forecasting
- Forward planning
- Health services sector
- Human capital
- Plans
- Strategic planning