The First Millennium Development Goal, agriculture and climate change

Martin Prowse, Tim Braunholtz-Speight

Research output: Other contributionpeer-review

Abstract

Do the physical impacts of climate
change affect the prospects for achieving the first target of the Millennium
Development Goals (MDGs), to halve
world poverty? With the official mid-point of the
MDGs on 7 July 2007, this is an important question to consider as we assess challenges to meeting these goals, and look beyond them.
At a global level, the latest UN MDG report
argues that the proportion of people living in
extreme poverty has fallen, from 28% in 1990
to 19% in 2002, using the $1-a-day poverty line.
However, this progress has been highly uneven.
Structural change in East and South Asia has
driven the reduction in global poverty incidence,
but in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) there was no
progress in the 1990s, and it is too early to say
whether tentative declines in poverty since 2000
are a new trend. Despite rising urbanisation, over
60% of people in SSA are reliant on agriculture
for their income. The potential impacts of climate
change pose two key questions for current agriculture-led strategies to reduce poverty.
Original languageEnglish
Number of pages2
Volume85
Publication statusPublished - 2007

Research Beacons, Institutes and Platforms

  • Global Development Institute

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