The Resilience of Employment in Wales: Through Recession and into Recovery

Marianne Sensier; Michael Artis

doi:10.1080/00343404.2014.920083

The Resilience of Employment in Wales: Through Recession and into Recovery

Marianne Sensier, Michael Artis

Economics

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Abstract

Sensier M. and Artis M. The resilience of employment in Wales: through recession and into recovery, Regional Studies. The dimensions of resilience of the Welsh employment cycle are assessed. The Welsh economy has undergone reorientation and renewal since the deep crisis of the 1980s and it was more resistant than the UK for the 1990s' crisis and has recovered its pre-recession peak for the most recent crisis. To visualize the regional spread of the most recent recession in Wales, turning points in unitary authority unemployment claims are dated and a series of maps show when Welsh authorities entered recession. It is found that the housing sector and manufacturing survey data are the best predictors of the Welsh employment cycle. © 2014 © 2014 Regional Studies Association.

Original language	English
Journal	Regional Studies
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1080/00343404.2014.920083
Publication status	Published - 2014

Keywords

Chamber of Commerce surveys
Classical business cycles
Employment
Logistic model
Unemployment claimant count
Wales

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

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10.1080/00343404.2014.920083

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title = "The Resilience of Employment in Wales: Through Recession and into Recovery",

abstract = "Sensier M. and Artis M. The resilience of employment in Wales: through recession and into recovery, Regional Studies. The dimensions of resilience of the Welsh employment cycle are assessed. The Welsh economy has undergone reorientation and renewal since the deep crisis of the 1980s and it was more resistant than the UK for the 1990s' crisis and has recovered its pre-recession peak for the most recent crisis. To visualize the regional spread of the most recent recession in Wales, turning points in unitary authority unemployment claims are dated and a series of maps show when Welsh authorities entered recession. It is found that the housing sector and manufacturing survey data are the best predictors of the Welsh employment cycle. {\textcopyright} 2014 {\textcopyright} 2014 Regional Studies Association.",

keywords = "Chamber of Commerce surveys, Classical business cycles, Employment, Logistic model, Unemployment claimant count, Wales",

author = "Marianne Sensier and Michael Artis",

note = "We would like to thank the Welsh Government and the Economic and Social Research Council for commissioning this work. The views expressed in the paper are those of the authors and not necessarily those of the Welsh Government. We would also like to thank Tim Fearnside for producing the maps in Figure 4, David Blackaby, Gillian Bristow and two anonymous referees for their helpful comments. The work was revised under the ESPON programme {\^a}Economic Crises: Resilience of Regions{\^a}. The authors gratefully acknowledge this support.",

year = "2014",

doi = "10.1080/00343404.2014.920083",

language = "English",

journal = "Regional Studies",

issn = "0034-3404",

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T1 - The Resilience of Employment in Wales: Through Recession and into Recovery

AU - Sensier, Marianne

AU - Artis, Michael

N1 - We would like to thank the Welsh Government and the Economic and Social Research Council for commissioning this work. The views expressed in the paper are those of the authors and not necessarily those of the Welsh Government. We would also like to thank Tim Fearnside for producing the maps in Figure 4, David Blackaby, Gillian Bristow and two anonymous referees for their helpful comments. The work was revised under the ESPON programme âEconomic Crises: Resilience of Regionsâ. The authors gratefully acknowledge this support.

PY - 2014

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N2 - Sensier M. and Artis M. The resilience of employment in Wales: through recession and into recovery, Regional Studies. The dimensions of resilience of the Welsh employment cycle are assessed. The Welsh economy has undergone reorientation and renewal since the deep crisis of the 1980s and it was more resistant than the UK for the 1990s' crisis and has recovered its pre-recession peak for the most recent crisis. To visualize the regional spread of the most recent recession in Wales, turning points in unitary authority unemployment claims are dated and a series of maps show when Welsh authorities entered recession. It is found that the housing sector and manufacturing survey data are the best predictors of the Welsh employment cycle. © 2014 © 2014 Regional Studies Association.

AB - Sensier M. and Artis M. The resilience of employment in Wales: through recession and into recovery, Regional Studies. The dimensions of resilience of the Welsh employment cycle are assessed. The Welsh economy has undergone reorientation and renewal since the deep crisis of the 1980s and it was more resistant than the UK for the 1990s' crisis and has recovered its pre-recession peak for the most recent crisis. To visualize the regional spread of the most recent recession in Wales, turning points in unitary authority unemployment claims are dated and a series of maps show when Welsh authorities entered recession. It is found that the housing sector and manufacturing survey data are the best predictors of the Welsh employment cycle. © 2014 © 2014 Regional Studies Association.

KW - Chamber of Commerce surveys

KW - Classical business cycles

KW - Employment

KW - Logistic model

KW - Unemployment claimant count

KW - Wales

U2 - 10.1080/00343404.2014.920083

DO - 10.1080/00343404.2014.920083

M3 - Article

SN - 0034-3404

JO - Regional Studies

JF - Regional Studies

ER -

The Resilience of Employment in Wales: Through Recession and into Recovery

Abstract

Keywords

UN SDGs

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