The turn of the month effect in India: A case of large institutional trading pattern as a source of higher liquidity

Daniela Maher, Anokhi Parikh

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

We examine (via parametric and non-parametric tests) the turn of the month effect in the returns of various, size-conditioned Indian stock indices, across time, in up and down markets and independent of other seasonal anomalies. We find little support for the payday and the US macroeconomic news announcements hypotheses. Instead, we show that institutional traders (foreign and domestic) significantly increase their trading volumes (on the buying side) at month end, potentially pushing prices up. There is no evidence of a similar behavior on the retail side. We suggest this to be a major cause of the observable TOM effect in India. © 2013 Elsevier Inc.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)57-69
Number of pages12
JournalInternational Review of Financial Analysis
Volume28
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Jun 2013

Keywords

  • Institutional traders
  • Liquidity
  • Market efficiency
  • Returns
  • Turn of the month

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