Uncertainty of risk estimates from clinical prediction models: rationale, challenges and approaches

Richard D. Riley; Gary S. Collins; Laura Kirton; Kym I. E.   Snell; Joie Ensor; Rebecca Whittle; Paula  Dhiman; Maarten van Smeden; Xiaoxuan  Liu; Joseph   Alderman; Krishnarajah Nirantharakumar; Jay  Manson-Whitton; Andrew J.   Westwood; Jean Baptiste Cazier; Karel G. Moons; Glen P. Martin; Matthew Sperrin; Alastair  Denniston; Frank E.  Harrell Jr; Lucinda Archer

Uncertainty of risk estimates from clinical prediction models: rationale, challenges and approaches

Richard D. Riley, Gary S. Collins, Laura Kirton, Kym I. E. Snell , Joie Ensor, Rebecca Whittle, Paula Dhiman, Maarten van Smeden, Xiaoxuan Liu , Joseph Alderman , Krishnarajah Nirantharakumar, Jay Manson-Whitton, Andrew J. Westwood , Jean Baptiste Cazier, Karel G. Moons, Glen P. Martin, Matthew Sperrin, Alastair Denniston , Frank E. Harrell Jr, Lucinda Archer

Division of Informatics, Imaging & Data Sciences (L5)

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

Original language	English
Journal	British Medical Journal
Publication status	Accepted/In press - 19 Nov 2024

Embargoed Document

Uncertainty in clinical prediction models ACCEPTED
Accepted author manuscript, 1.14 MB
Licence: CC BY
Embargo ends: 20/11/25

Cite this

Riley, R. D., Collins, G. S., Kirton, L., Snell , K. I. E., Ensor, J., Whittle, R., Dhiman, P., van Smeden, M., Liu , X., Alderman , J., Nirantharakumar, K., Manson-Whitton, J., Westwood , A. J., Cazier, J. B., Moons, K. G., Martin, G. P., Sperrin, M., Denniston , A., Harrell Jr, F. E., & Archer, L. (Accepted/In press). Uncertainty of risk estimates from clinical prediction models: rationale, challenges and approaches. British Medical Journal.

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title = "Uncertainty of risk estimates from clinical prediction models: rationale, challenges and approaches",

author = "Riley, {Richard D.} and Collins, {Gary S.} and Laura Kirton and Snell, {Kym I. E.} and Joie Ensor and Rebecca Whittle and Paula Dhiman and {van Smeden}, Maarten and Xiaoxuan Liu and Joseph Alderman and Krishnarajah Nirantharakumar and Jay Manson-Whitton and Westwood, {Andrew J.} and Cazier, {Jean Baptiste} and Moons, {Karel G.} and Martin, {Glen P.} and Matthew Sperrin and Alastair Denniston and {Harrell Jr}, {Frank E.} and Lucinda Archer",

year = "2024",

month = nov,

day = "19",

language = "English",

journal = "British Medical Journal",

issn = "0959-535X",

publisher = "BMJ ",

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Riley, RD, Collins, GS, Kirton, L, Snell , KIE, Ensor, J, Whittle, R, Dhiman, P, van Smeden, M, Liu , X, Alderman , J, Nirantharakumar, K, Manson-Whitton, J, Westwood , AJ, Cazier, JB, Moons, KG, Martin, GP , Sperrin, M, Denniston , A, Harrell Jr, FE & Archer, L 2024, 'Uncertainty of risk estimates from clinical prediction models: rationale, challenges and approaches', British Medical Journal.

TY - JOUR

T1 - Uncertainty of risk estimates from clinical prediction models: rationale, challenges and approaches

AU - Riley, Richard D.

AU - Collins, Gary S.

AU - Kirton, Laura

AU - Snell , Kym I. E.

AU - Ensor, Joie

AU - Whittle, Rebecca

AU - Dhiman, Paula

AU - van Smeden, Maarten

AU - Liu , Xiaoxuan

AU - Alderman , Joseph

AU - Nirantharakumar, Krishnarajah

AU - Manson-Whitton, Jay

AU - Westwood , Andrew J.

AU - Cazier, Jean Baptiste

AU - Moons, Karel G.

AU - Martin, Glen P.

AU - Sperrin, Matthew

AU - Denniston , Alastair

AU - Harrell Jr, Frank E.

AU - Archer, Lucinda

PY - 2024/11/19

Y1 - 2024/11/19

M3 - Article

SN - 0959-535X

JO - British Medical Journal

JF - British Medical Journal

ER -