Weekly variation in health-care quality by day and time of admission: a nationwide, registry-based, prospective cohort study of acute stroke care

Benjamin D. Bray, Geoffrey C . Cloud, Martin A James, Harry Hemingway, Lizz Paley, Kevin Stewart, Philippa Tyrrell, Charles D A Wolfe, Anthony G Rudd

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Abstract

Summary Background Studies in many health systems have shown evidence of poorer quality health care for patients admitted on weekends or overnight than for those admitted during the week (the so-called weekend eff ect). We postulated that variation in quality was dependent on not only day, but also time, of admission, and aimed to describe the pattern and magnitude of variation in the quality of acute stroke care across the entire week. Methods We did this nationwide, registry-based, prospective cohort study using data from the Sentinel Stroke National Audit Programme. We included all adult patients (aged >16 years) admitted to hospital with acute stroke (ischaemic or primary intracerebral haemorrhage) in England and Wales between April 1, 2013, and March 31, 2014. Our outcome measure was 30 day post-admission survival. We estimated adjusted odds ratios for 13 indicators of acute stroke-care quality by fi tting multilevel multivariable regression models across 42 4-h time periods per week. Findings The study cohort comprised 74 307 patients with acute stroke admitted to 199 hospitals. Care quality varied across the entire week, not only between weekends and weekdays, with diff erent quality measures showing diff erent patterns and magnitudes of temporal variation. We identifi ed four patterns of variation: a diurnal pattern (thrombolysis, brain scan within 12 h, brain scan within 1 h, dysphagia screening), a day of the week pattern (stroke physician assessment, nurse assessment, physiotherapy, occupational therapy, and assessment of communication and swallowing by a speech and language therapist), an off -hours pattern (door-to-needle time for thrombolysis), and a fl ow pattern whereby quality changed sequentially across days (stroke-unit admission within 4 h). The largest magnitude of variation was for door-to-needle time within 60 min (range in quality 35–66% [16/46–232/350]; coeffi cient of variation 18·2). There was no diff erence in 30 day survival between weekends and weekdays (adjusted odds ratio 1·03, 95% CI 0·95–1·13), but patients admitted overnight on weekdays had lower odds of survival (0·90, 0·82–0·99). Interpretation The weekend eff ect is a simplifi cation, and just one of several patterns of weekly variation occurring in the quality of stroke care. Weekly variation should be further investigated in other health-care settings, and quality improvement should focus on reducing temporal variation in quality and not only the weekend eff ect.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)170-177
Number of pages8
JournalThe Lancet
Volume388
Issue number10040
Early online date10 May 2016
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 9 Jul 2016

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